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Soy, Canola & Palm Oil Trends 

Farmer's Report - April 10, 2026

 

Soybean Oil

  • CME soybean oil futures were lower through Wednesday, compared to Wednesday of the prior week
  • Speculative fund traders came into the week with a record net long position, according to last Friday’s CFTC Commitment of Traders report
  • The USDA estimated that end-of-February domestic soybean oil stocks were 2.600 billion pounds, up from 2.433 billion in January and over 35% higher than the 1.924 billion posted in February 2025. This was the highest month end stocks number since April 2020
  • Energy prices fell sharply mid-week as a two-week ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran was announced, prompting a break in the soybean oil market, due to decreased biofuel margins, according to analysts
  • The USDA was scheduled to release its April Supply/Demand report on April 10, with the average trade estimate for 2025/2026 soybean ending stocks at 350 million bushels, unchanged from March
  • Brazilian crop agency CONAB reported that the Brazilian soybean harvest was 82%,, complete, compared to 85% last year and the five-year average of 78%

Canola

  • The Intercontinental Exchange spot canola seed futures were lower this week and continue to look to the soybean complex for direction, according to analysts
  • Traders continue to closely monitor Canadian canola planting intentions, as input costs such as fertilizer and fuel continue to soar, according to analysts   
  • Canola oil basis offers remained firm through Q3 this week, as the U.S. biofuel program will support imports, as reported by cash dealers

Palm Oil

  • Palm oil prices on the Kuala Lumpur Commodity Exchange moved lower this week, following the lead of soybean oil
  • According to Advanced Biofuels USA, Indonesia will implement B50 biodiesel starting July 1, after nearly six months of trials showed positive results, Energy Minister Bahlil Lahadalia said on Monday  
  • According to Bursa Marketplace, Malaysia’s palm oil inventories likely dropped in March by the most in three years, as a surge in exports more than offset a modest increase in output. Palm oil stocks are expected to decline for a third straight month, to 2.18 million metric tons, 19.2% lower than February, according to the median estimate of 11 traders, planters, and analysts polled by Reuters  

Mayo & Margarine

  • The CME soybean oil market and palm oil prices on the Kuala Lumpur Commodity Exchange were lower this week, while the USDA butter market was steady

Commodity Trends at Your Fingertips: Dive into the Farmer's Report